Prediction of Denis Yevseyev vs Luca Castelnuovo at M25 Guiyang 09-19-25
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 19 Sep at 06:00 AM UTC
Yevseyev is scheduled to play Castelnuovo on 19 Sep Fri at 06:00 AM UTC in the M25 Guiyang, Quarterfinals.
HEAD TO HEAD
D. Yevseyev vs L. Castelnuovo
Denis Yevseyev
KAZ
l
w
l
l
l
l
w
w
w
w
0
Win
0
Played
0
Win
32
Age
28
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
6'1" (185 cm)
340
C. Rank
465
153
Best Rank
465
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$107.5K
Career Money
$0
Right-Handed
Plays
Left-Handed
Luca Castelnuovo
SUI
w
l
l
l
w
w
w
l
w
w
0
Win
0
Played
0
Win
32
Age
28
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
6'1" (185 cm)
340
C. Rank
465
153
Best Rank
465
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$107.5K
Career Money
$0
Right-Handed
Plays
Left-Handed
D. Yevseyev Vs L. Castelnuovo Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Denis Yevseyev has a 52.15% chance to get the victory. Login / Register to find out our expert prediction.
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To Win
| Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| D. Yevseyev | 52.15% | 1.78 |
| L. Castelnuovo | 47.85% | 1.94 |
Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.
Head-To-Head: Yevseyev 0 - 0 Castelnuovo
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Yevseyev | 0 |
| Castelnuovo | 0 |
Last H2H Matches:
No past h2h event happened.
D. Yevseyev Vs L. Castelnuovo Best Odds
1x2
W1
1.78W2
1.94D. Yevseyev vs L. Castelnuovo H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $107,480 | Career Prize Money | $0 |
| 53.23% (469-412) | Career Total W/L | 52.32% (237-216) |
| 9 | Titles | 4 |
| 100.00% (1-0) | YTD Win/Loss | 0% (0-0) |
D. Yevseyev vs L. Castelnuovo Match Preview
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Denis Yevseyev has won 39.48% of points on their second serve, while Luca Castelnuovo has won 45.75%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Denis Yevseyev, in recent form, has won 47.95% of their opponent's second serve points, while Luca Castelnuovo has won 42.93%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.27% and 19.27% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Denis Yevseyev has saved 47.62% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Luca Castelnuovo has saved 55.02% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Denis Yevseyev has won 39.44% of matches played (W/L 28/ 43), with Luca Castelnuovo winning 65.75% (W/L 28/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Denis Yevseyev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 55% (W/L 225/ 183), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 40% (W/L 2/ 3). Luca Castelnuovo has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 58% (W/L 21/ 15), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 2/ 5).
- Player level: In the last year, Denis Yevseyev has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 37.29% of matches (W/L 22/ 37), where as Luca Castelnuovo has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 44/ 20). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Denis Yevseyev has played against opponents with an average rank of 312.61 while Luca Castelnuovo has played against players with an average rank of 426.55.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Denis Yevseyev has won 29% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Luca Castelnuovo has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Denis Yevseyev has converted 36.98% of breakpoint opportunities, and Luca Castelnuovo has converted 23.31% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Denis Yevseyev vs Luca Castelnuovo Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
D. Yevseyev Vs L. Castelnuovo Current Event Stats
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches Played | 2 |
| 1:55:33 | Last Match Time | 1:11:31 |
| 4:40:48 | Total Time | 2:24:07 |
| 71% (12/17) | Break Points Saved | 60% (3/5) |
| 85% (29/34) | Service Hold % | 90% (18/20) |
| 56% (19/34) | Opponent Hold % | 70% (14/20) |
| 0% (0/1) | Tiebreak Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 0.25 | Tiebreaks Per Match | 0.00 |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in M25 Guiyang.
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Yevseyev 46%, Castelnuovo 53%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Yevseyev 54%, Castelnuovo 52%.
Break Points Saved %: Yevseyev 54%, Castelnuovo 64%.
D. Yevseyev Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 M25 Guiyang - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulW. Trongcharoenchaikul | W | 6-2 6-7(6) 6-1 | ||
R1  Evan ZhuE. Zhu | W | 6-2 3-6 6-1 | ||
Q3  Weiwen PanW. Pan | W | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Q2 Yanjie ZhengY. Zheng | W | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Guangzhou Challenger - 08-09-2025 | ||||
R1  Billy HarrisB. Harris | L | 6-4 4-0 ret. | ||
L. Castelnuovo Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M25 Guiyang - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Kuan-Yi LeeK. Lee | W | 6-3 6-4 | ||
R1 Yuquan JinY. Jin | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Guangzhou Challenger - 08-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Marat Sharipov (RUS)M. Sharipov | L | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 | ||
R1  Omar JasikaO. Jasika | W | 7-6(2) 7-6(4) | ||
Q3 Ye Cong MoY. Cong | W | 4-6 6-3 7-6(4) | ||
Where To Watch Yevseyev Vs Castelnuovo?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Yevseyev Vs Castelnuovo is now available here.
D. Yevseyev vs L. Castelnuovo Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1st Match | YTD Win/Loss | 52.61% (141/127) |
| 1st Match | Sets Win/Loss | 53.07% (320/283) |
| 1st Match | Games Win/Loss | 51.09% (2935/2810) |
| 1st Match | Aces Per Game | 0.42 |
| 1st Match | Aces Total | 1189 |
| 1st Match | Double Faults Per Game | 0.21 |
| 1st Match | Total Double Faults | 595 |
| 1st Match | Average Match Time | 1:16:35 |
| 1st Match | Average Opponent Rank | 445.33 |
| 1st Match | 1st Serve % | 63% (8842/14047) |
| 1st Match | 1st Serve Win % | 71% (6320/8842) |
| 1st Match | 2nd Serve Win % | 49% (2572/5205) |
| 1st Match | Break Points Won % (Total) | 42% (514/1234) |
| 1st Match | Return Points Win % | 38% (5317/14164) |
| 1st Match | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 54% (139/256) |
| 1st Match | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st Match | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 55% (51/93) |
| 1st Match | Deciding Set Win % | 49% (37/75) |
| 1st Match | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 88% (138/121) |
| 1st Match | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 12% (138/16) |
| 1st Match | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 15% (130/19) |
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Potential H2H Matches This Week
Yevseyev (M25 Guiyang)
Yevseyev vs (RUS)Could play in The Final
Yevseyev vs SantillanCould play in The Final
Yevseyev vs BiryukovCould play in The Final
Yevseyev vs FergusonCould play in The Final
Wang vs YevseyevCould play in The Semifinals
Jasika vs YevseyevCould play in The Semifinals
Castelnuovo (M25 Guiyang)
Castelnuovo vs (RUS)Could play in The Final
Castelnuovo vs SantillanCould play in The Final
Castelnuovo vs BiryukovCould play in The Final
Castelnuovo vs FergusonCould play in The Final
Wang vs CastelnuovoCould play in The Semifinals
Jasika vs CastelnuovoCould play in The Semifinals
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